Uday Kotak provides a 'financial roadmap' for achieving a $30 trillion economy in India by 2047
Uday Kotak provides a 'financial roadmap' for achieving a $30 trillion economy in India by 2047
Banking and financial expert Uday Kotak has outlined a financial model aimed at propelling India to become the world's largest economy by 2047. As India concludes 2023 as the fifth-largest global economy, boasting a GDP exceeding $3.6 trillion, Kotak has offered insights on sustaining growth to reach a staggering $30 trillion economy by 2047, surpassing the current GDP of the United States. Emphasizing the need for a stable 9 percent annual growth rate, Kotak shared his "year-end musings" on X, providing a financial guide for India's economic ascent.
In his reflections, Kotak highlighted the transformation of the Indian saver's confidence in financial assets, noting a shift from gold and land to bank deposits, UTI, and LIC since the early '80s. He underscored the evolution in perceptions of equities from being deemed speculative in the '90s to gaining traction as companies sought capital from foreign institutional investors (FIIs). Kotak pointed out that India's capital market was once exported through less-known avenues like the Luxembourg stock exchange.
Uday Kotak, founder of Kotak Mahindra Bank, delineated seven key points to foster sustained growth in India over the next decade, focusing on increased investment and reduced debt. He advocated for companies to raise equity at a lower cost of capital for productive utilization, attracting more investors and stimulating growth in the Indian stock market. While urging caution against tax arbitrage in debt, Kotak emphasized the necessity for the growth of debt markets to prevent a one-sided race. Addressing the significant gap in the highest marginal tax rate between debt and equity, he suggested a reevaluation.
Kotak emphasized viewing shareholders as partners and proposed a reassessment of double taxation on dividends. He cautioned against the distortion of financial markets through low-cost leverage via derivatives. The banker underscored the importance of steering clear of retrospective tax and regulatory regimes. Additionally, he highlighted two critical areas for India's sustained growth – acquisition financing and streamlining the IBC/NCLT process. Uday Kotak's financial insights serve as a comprehensive guide for steering India towards unprecedented economic heights.
Uday Kotak
Indian economy
Financial model
Largest economy by 2047
GDP growth
Year-end reflections
Economic sustainability
Global economy
Kotak Mahindra Bank
Annual growth rate
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